Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1950.0%
Neutral1847.4%
Bearish12.6%
Aon plc · AON · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Aon: NFP integration and analytics support a maintained 2025 outlook
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: demand for risk and people solutions, NFP integration, analytics tools, and margin expansion provide support for continued growth, while reinsurance pricing, integration execution, retention, tax, and capital-allocation risks remain material.
Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services
$64.38B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $4.25
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $4.21B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-0.4%
Event window
SPY move
-0.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
+0.2%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.3×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
+10.4%
Up to 20 sessions
AONSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about AON FY2024 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove AON's -0.4% move after FY2024 Q4 earnings?What changed in AON's guidance and outlook in FY2024 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for AON after FY2024 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes 2024 results, progress integrating NFP, expanded Risk Analyzer tools, record client treaty-capacity growth, and maintained 2025 guidance. It also identifies a more specific 2025 NFP synergy target and additional restructuring savings.
Guidance delta
Maintained: the supplied analysis says 2025 guidance remained mid-single-digit organic growth, margin expansion, and double-digit free-cash-flow growth.
Key takeaways
- Management described 2024 as a strong year, with growth and margin expansion highlighted in the supplied analysis.
- The 3x3 Plan remains the organizing framework across Risk Capital, Human Capital, client leadership, and Business Services.
- NFP integration is progressing, with retention and revenue synergies identified as important execution markers.
- Property, Cyber, and Health Risk Analyzer tools were highlighted as drivers of client win rates.
- The supplied analysis also points to reinsurance-rate, foreign-exchange, tax, and integration risks.
Management priorities
- Continue priority hiring in energy, construction, and health.
- Expand Risk Analyzer tools and the Aon Business Services platform.
- Deliver NFP revenue synergies in 2025.
- Realize incremental restructuring savings and pursue targeted middle-market tuck-in acquisitions.
- Maintain capital-allocation discipline while advancing the 3x3 Plan.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
$303.52Current
$245Low
$375.24Average
$445High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 1, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 14, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 13, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 5, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 13, 2023 |
| MKM Partners | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 5, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Oct 31, 2022 |
| Atlantic Equities | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Nov 4, 2021 |
| William Blair | Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Sandler O'Neill | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Janney Capital | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 25, 2020 |
| Compass Point | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 15, 2019 |
| Janney Montgomery Scott | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jun 21, 2017 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 21, 2015 |
| Stifel | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 3, 2015 |
| PiperJaffray | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 4, 2015 |
| Evercore Partners | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 10, 2014 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $303.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wells Fargo | Elyse Greenspan | $323 | $273.47 | +6.4% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Ryan Tunis | $400 | $273.99 | +31.8% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $324 | $273.99 | +6.7% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $317 | $273.99 | +4.4% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Bob Huang | $350 | $271.93 | +15.3% | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $366 | $304.67 | +20.6% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | David Motemaden | $423 | $327.48 | +39.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Michael Zaremski | $360 | $321.03 | +18.6% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $380 | $321.52 | +25.2% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Ryan Tunis | $433 | $321.52 | +42.7% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Paul Newsome | $349 | $321.52 | +15.0% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $383 | $321.52 | +26.2% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $343.2 | +35.1% | Aug 19, 2026 |
| UBS | Brian Meredith | $387 | $360.55 | +27.5% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Roth Capital | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $361.22 | +38.4% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $391 | $377.16 | +28.8% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $377 | $358.89 | +24.2% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $445 | $355.17 | +46.6% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Yaron Kinar | $426 | $357.51 | +40.4% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $383 | $359.29 | +26.2% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $382 | $356.91 | +25.9% | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $380 | $357.46 | +25.2% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $329.51 | +18.6% | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $355 | $335.31 | +17.0% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Paul Newsome | $360 | $324.78 | +18.6% | May 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Bob Huang | $370 | $321.15 | +21.9% | May 21, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $388 | $311.51 | +27.8% | May 4, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Yaron Kinar | $394 | $318.03 | +29.8% | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Yaron Kinar | $398 | $349.61 | +31.1% | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Andrew Andersen | $408 | $351.99 | +34.4% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $412 | $351.99 | +35.7% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $385 | $349.64 | +26.8% | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Elyse Greenspan | $443 | $349.64 | +46.0% | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $387 | $344.59 | +27.5% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $393 | $344.59 | +29.5% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $448 | $350.49 | +47.6% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $381 | $349.92 | +25.5% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $395 | $349.92 | +30.1% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $436 | $344.63 | +43.6% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $400 | $353.71 | +31.8% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $389 | $353.71 | +28.2% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Barclays | Alex Scott | $379 | $344.17 | +24.9% | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Roth Capital | Harry Fong | $390 | $340.8 | +28.5% | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $435 | $339.42 | +43.3% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | David Motemaden | $427 | $354.64 | +40.7% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Ryan Tunis | $440 | $363.81 | +45.0% | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $352.91 | +38.4% | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Redburn Partners | Daniel Sykes | $445 | $396.14 | +46.6% | Mar 25, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Michael Zaremski | $380 | $365.64 | +25.2% | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Robert Cox | $390 | $371.71 | +28.5% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Elyse Greenspan | $377 | $371.84 | +24.2% | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Yaron Kinar | $365 | $353.97 | +20.3% | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Barclays | Alex Scott | $394 | $348.55 | +29.8% | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Paul Newsome | $335 | $323 | +10.4% | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Bob Huang | $323 | $323 | +6.4% | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | David Motemaden | $338 | $323 | +11.4% | Jul 26, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Bob Huang | $296 | $293.16 | -2.5% | Jul 10, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Elyse Greenspan | $287 | $293.49 | -5.4% | Jul 2, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Michael Zaremski | $325 | $293.58 | +7.1% | Jun 28, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Scott Heleniak | $315 | $283.14 | +3.8% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Paul Newsome | $312 | $282.08 | +2.8% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $340 | $320.45 | +12.0% | Feb 8, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $363 | $315.87 | +19.6% | Jan 13, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $339 | $306.14 | +11.7% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| MKM Partners | Analyst unavailable | $360 | $308.89 | +18.6% | Dec 5, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $255 | $302.05 | -16.0% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Elyse Greenspan | $310 | $280.78 | +2.1% | May 2, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | David Motemaden | $292 | $273.45 | -3.8% | Jan 14, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Phil Stefano | $245 | $250.95 | -19.3% | May 25, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationAon plc operates as a professional services firm in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Risk Capital and Human Capital segments. The company offers commercial risk solutions comprising retail and insurance brokerage, specialty solutions, global risk consulting, captives management, and affinity programs; health solutions, such as consulting and brokerage, consumer benefits, and talent advisory services; and wealth solutions, including retirement consulting and investments.…
Historical context
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Get the AON recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-17T00:04:44.363398+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T06:00:43.954716+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T06:00:43.951955+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.