Arista Networks, Inc. · ANET · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Arista: AI networking demand remains strong, with execution risks

The current analysis is broadly supportive of the hypothesis that resilient demand and earnings growth can support Arista's outlook over the next year: AI networking adoption, enterprise and campus expansion, and software and services growth are identified as drivers. The case remains conditional on trial conversion, execution, margins, supply, and competition.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $217.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.40 Consensus $2.08
EPS surprise +15.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.81B Consensus $1.76B
Revenue surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.1% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.8% Up to 20 sessions
ANETSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, the current assessment retains a confident management tone and shifts guidance sentiment from raised to maintained. The emphasis has moved toward scaling AI deployments, expanding the 800-GbE portfolio, and managing the associated competitive, margin, supply-chain, and inventory risks.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment moved from raised in the prior analysis to maintained in the current analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management emphasized accelerating AI networking demand and expansion of its Ethernet portfolio.
  • The growth case also depends on converting AI trials into production deployments.
  • Software, services, enterprise, campus, and cloud expansion remain part of the stated growth framework.
  • The main counterweights are competition, customer mix, supply-chain execution, and inventory management.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI networking products and deployments
  • Move more AI trials toward production
  • Expand software automation and AI-driven operations
  • Continue partnerships and standards work

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ANET REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2B Q4 '23 actual $2B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4178.8%
Neutral1121.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$172.37Current
$87.5Low
$214.12Average
$430High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 19, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeSep 1, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $172.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$250$202.86 +45.0%Sep 30, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$220$195.69 +27.6%Aug 31, 2026
Goldman SachsMichael Ng$225$198.82 +30.5%Aug 5, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$259$200.22 +50.3%Aug 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$220$195.07 +27.6%Aug 5, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Arista Networks, Inc. is a leading global technology firm that designs, promotes, and distributes innovative cloud networking solutions across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific regions. Its comprehensive product portfolio features advanced extensible operating systems, a collection of powerful network applications, and high-performance gigabit Ethernet switching and routing hardware.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T13:00:43.549607+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T13:00:43.546533+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.