Amrize Ltd · AMRZ · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Amrize raises revenue outlook as infrastructure demand supports growth

The quarter supports a constructive medium-term view: infrastructure, data-center, energy and onshoring demand are providing growth support, while execution programs may improve margins. The main counterweight is limited near-term visibility around tariffs, pricing, volumes and residential activity.

Reported After market closeNYSEBasic Materials $21.16B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.06 Consensus $1.02
EPS surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.67B Consensus $3.49B
Revenue surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.0% Up to 20 sessions
AMRZSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised revenue guidance, highlighted stronger demand and cash generation, and advanced capacity and savings initiatives. The tone remained cautious around the near-term operating environment.

Guidance delta

Management raised revenue guidance while leaving EBITDA and leverage expectations unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Infrastructure, data-center, energy and onshoring activity supported demand
  • Free cash flow improved materially and operating execution strengthened
  • Building Envelope margins benefited from operational efficiencies
  • ASPIRE and organic investment programs are intended to support further margin expansion
  • Management remains open to selective M&A while emphasizing balance-sheet discipline

Management priorities

  • Complete cement and roofing capacity projects
  • Expand aggregates capacity in targeted regions
  • Scale the ASPIRE savings program
  • Pursue selective acquisitions in core construction segments

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMRZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $1.03 Q2 '25 actual $0.78, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.13 Q4 '25 actual $-0.16, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.12 Q1 '26 actual $-0.16, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.95 Q2 '26 actual $0.88, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.08 Q4 '26 estimate $0.67 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.16 Q2 '27 estimate $0.98

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold10 ratings
Bullish440.0%
Neutral440.0%
Bearish220.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$38.18Current
$40Low
$55.97Average
$75High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 22, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeSep 9, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeSep 2, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform NeutralDowngradeSep 2, 2026
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
RBC Capital Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeAug 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold BuyDowngradeJul 7, 2026
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $38.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankJon Bell$56$38.14 +46.7%Sep 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$42$39.19 +10.0%Sep 22, 2026
BernsteinPujarini Ghosh$60$37.54 +57.2%Sep 21, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$55$37.44 +44.1%Sep 18, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$44$41.95 +15.2%Sep 9, 2026
William BlairAnalyst unavailable$40$42.81 +4.8%Sep 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$50$45.18 +31.0%Aug 24, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$54$46.9 +41.4%Aug 12, 2026
RBC CapitalAnthony Codling$48$46.64 +25.7%Aug 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$58$50.94 +51.9%Jul 8, 2026
Truist FinancialKeith Hughes$48$54.01 +25.7%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$63$53.42 +65.0%Jun 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$65$54.48 +70.2%May 6, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$68$53.38 +78.1%May 1, 2026
Vertical ResearchAnalyst unavailable$70$53.78 +83.3%May 1, 2026
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$65$59.96 +70.2%Apr 15, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$75$65 +96.4%Feb 20, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$70$63.7 +83.3%Feb 19, 2026
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$66$63.7 +72.9%Feb 19, 2026
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$70$63.7 +83.3%Feb 19, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$59$53.64 +54.5%Jan 29, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$64$54.6 +67.6%Jan 15, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$58$57.32 +51.9%Jan 12, 2026
BernsteinPujarini Ghosh$70$53.54 +83.3%Dec 18, 2025
RBC CapitalAnthony Codling$60$54.74 +57.2%Dec 8, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$59$54.74 +54.5%Dec 8, 2025
Vertical ResearchMichael Dudas$54$50.13 +41.4%Nov 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$61$52.85 +59.8%Oct 29, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$52$48.21 +36.2%Oct 14, 2025
Wells FargoTimna Tanners$57$47.13 +49.3%Oct 7, 2025
RBC CapitalAnthony Codling$54$47.02 +41.4%Aug 8, 2025
Berenberg BankAnalyst unavailable$64$49.55 +67.6%Jun 30, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$52.5$49.01 +37.5%Jun 29, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$60$53 +57.2%Jun 24, 2025
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Amrize AG engages in the provision of various building solutions for infrastructure, commercial, and residential construction markets in North America and Canada. It operates through two segments, Building Materials and Building Envelope. The Building Materials segment offers cement and aggregates, as well as ready-mix concrete, asphalt, and other construction materials. The Building Envelope segment provides advanced roofing and wall systems, including single-ply membranes, insulation, shingles, sheathing, waterproofing, and protective coatings; and adhesives, tapes, and sealants. The company was formerly known as Holcim North America Finance Ltd and changed its name to Amrize AG in December 2013. Amrize AG was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Zug, Switzerland.

Historical context

All AMRZ earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-28T16:20:58.835208+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-28T16:20:58.832426+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.