Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. · AMD · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

AMD: AI and Client Momentum Continue, but Early-2025 Seasonality Remains

The current analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: AI compute demand, EPYC adoption, Ryzen share gains, and the ROCm ecosystem remain growth drivers, while early-2025 seasonality, competition, margin mix, and execution risks temper the case for durable growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $863.17B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.07
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $7.53B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.3% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -11.7% Up to 20 sessions
AMDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, data-center growth was described as 69% year over year versus 122% previously, while client growth accelerated to 58% from 29%. The analysis also highlighted a mid-2025 MI350 production start, ongoing ROCm enhancements, and further ZT Systems integration and divestiture work.

Guidance delta

Maintained. The analysis says management projected 30% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 FY2025 despite a 7% sequential decline, with non-GAAP gross margin around 54%.

Key takeaways

  • Data-center revenue grew 69% year over year and contributed roughly half of total revenue, according to the analysis.
  • Client revenue rose 58% year over year, while gaming and embedded remained weaker.
  • Management described the Instinct GPU business as multi-billion-dollar scale and targeted a mid-2025 MI350 production start.
  • ROCm updates, AI software support, and rack-scale networking are central execution priorities.
  • The analysis identifies seasonality, competition, mix-related margins, and integration as key watch points.

Management priorities

  • Advance the MI350 production start and continue MI400 development.
  • Expand EPYC, Ryzen Pro, Instinct, and ROCm adoption across cloud, enterprise, and commercial-PC customers.
  • Integrate ZT Systems while divesting its U.S. data-center infrastructure assets.
  • Develop in-house AI NICs and rack-scale networking solutions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $6B Q4 '23 actual $6B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $5B Q1 '24 actual $5B, match Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $7B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $7B Q2 '25 actual $8B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $9B Q3 '25 actual $9B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $10B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $10B Q1 '26 actual $10B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $12B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $13B Q4 '26 estimate $16B Q1 '27 estimate $17B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy70 ratings
Bullish5172.9%
Neutral1927.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$528.75Current
$62.5Low
$356.62Average
$1,250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 17, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
StoneX Buy BuyMaintainSep 29, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainSep 29, 2026
Show 65 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $528.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$705$631.75 +33.3%Oct 6, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$700$633.91 +32.4%Oct 5, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$720$629.31 +36.2%Sep 25, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$600$521.1 +13.5%Sep 9, 2026
CLSABhavtosh Vajpayee$710$505.74 +34.3%Sep 9, 2026
See 241 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), established in 1969 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, operates as a global leader in the semiconductor industry. The company organizes its extensive operations into two primary segments: Computing and Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. In its Computing and Graphics division, AMD develops a range of products including x86 microprocessors (often as accelerated processing units), chipsets, and various graphics processing units (GPUs), encompassing discrete, integrated, data center, and professional variants, alongside providing development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment focuses on server and embedded processors, bespoke System-on-Chip (SoC) products, and foundational technology for popular game consoles, also offering associated development support.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-21T00:01:13.267231+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-17T08:10:42.806617+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-17T08:10:42.803824+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-17. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.