Applied Materials, Inc. · AMAT · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Applied Materials Raises FY26 Outlook on AI-Driven Equipment Demand

The supplied analysis supports the view that resilient AI-related demand and earnings growth are strengthening Applied Materials' near-term trajectory. The evidence is the raised FY26 revenue outlook, strong Q3 growth, multiyear customer visibility and demand across DRAM, logic and advanced packaging; the main counterweights are capacity execution, ramp costs and dependence on continued AI investment.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $352.97B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.50 Consensus $3.40
EPS surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $9.12B Consensus $8.99B
Revenue surprise +1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -4.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -16.4% Up to 20 sessions
AMATSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, management moved from maintained guidance to raised guidance and described stronger growth across AI-linked equipment markets. The company is also increasing CapEx, manufacturing capacity and hiring, while near-term margin pressure from ramp costs is a clearer concern.

Guidance delta

Raised: management increased full-year FY26 revenue guidance to $10.25 billion and indicated continued margin expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 FY26 revenue reached $9.1 billion, up 15% sequentially and 25% year over year, with record operating margins.
  • Management said AI infrastructure demand is driving strong growth in DRAM, leading-edge logic and advanced packaging equipment.
  • The current analysis is more constructive than the prior quarter: guidance was raised, while manufacturing expansion and hiring increased to support demand.

Management priorities

  • Scale manufacturing capacity, including planned expansion in Singapore and elsewhere, with manufacturing space targeted to double by 2028.
  • Bring the EPIC Center into operation and use customer and partner collaboration to accelerate commercialization.
  • Expand AI-enabled services and advanced-packaging capabilities through new products, connected-tool analytics and small acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AMAT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $2.00 Q4 '23 actual $2.12, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.91 Q1 '24 actual $2.13, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.99 Q2 '24 actual $2.09, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.02 Q3 '24 actual $2.12, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.36 Q3 '25 actual $2.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.11 Q4 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.21 Q1 '26 actual $2.38, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.68 Q2 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q3 '26 actual $3.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.06 Q1 '27 estimate $4.20 Q2 '27 estimate $4.50 Q3 '27 estimate $4.84
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy54 ratings
Bullish4277.8%
Neutral1222.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$460.36Current
$85Low
$421.03Average
$900High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 1, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 49 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $460.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSTimothy Arcuri$695$458.39 +51.0%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$590$484.19 +28.2%Aug 25, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$600$507.69 +30.3%Aug 18, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$850$505.2 +84.6%Aug 14, 2026
Seaport GlobalJay Goldberg$575$505.8 +24.9%Aug 14, 2026
See 183 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes designing, development, manufacturing and sale of equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips referred to as integrated circuits. The AGS segment engages in provision of services, spares, and factory automation software to customer fabrication plants globally. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Historical context

All AMAT earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-14T03:15:38.108966+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-18T01:23:15.369793+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T14:50:53.514069+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T14:50:53.511373+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.