Antero Midstream Corporation · AM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

AM maintains outlook as water integration and pipeline plans advance

The quarter supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: resilient gas and water-services demand, lower leverage, and pipeline opportunities provide support, while curtailments and large-project timing remain constraints.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $10.21B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.28 Consensus $0.30
EPS surprise -5.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $327.0M Consensus $340.6M
Revenue surprise -4.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
AMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, AM reported Q3 adjusted EBITDA of $291 million and highlighted full integration of the HG water system, more than $400 million of debt reduction, and a new regional pipeline focus. East Side Express remained on track, while the North-South project moved into scoping for a potential 2027 final investment decision.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management continued to outline pipeline expansion, water-services growth, and balance-sheet priorities without a reported change in guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 adjusted EBITDA rose 3% to $291 million, while management expected high-single-digit quarterly growth.
  • The HG water system reached full integration with 100% uptime, supporting the company’s water-services expansion.
  • East Side Express remains a $200 million–$300 million project, while the North-South pipeline is being scoped for a potential 2027 final investment decision.
  • Leverage improved to 2.8x after more than $400 million of debt reduction, with share repurchases accelerated.

Management priorities

  • Complete the HG water-system integration and pursue double-digit water-services EBITDA growth.
  • Advance East Side Express and scope the North-South pipeline while pursuing additional regional projects.
  • Invest more than $100 million in organic growth programs while maintaining the leverage target and returning capital to shareholders.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.22 Q2 '24 actual $0.18, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.23 Q3 '24 actual $0.21, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.25 Q2 '25 actual $0.26, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.25 Q3 '25 actual $0.24, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.24 Q4 '25 actual $0.11, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.26 Q1 '26 actual $0.25, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.27 Q2 '26 actual $0.24, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.30 Q3 '26 actual $0.28, miss Q4 '26 estimate $0.31 Q1 '27 estimate $0.32 Q2 '27 estimate $0.33 Q3 '27 estimate $0.34
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold17 ratings
Bullish15.9%
Neutral1270.6%
Bearish423.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$21.52Current
$12Low
$20.21Average
$25High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 21, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 3, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainNov 12, 2025
TPH Energy Research Hold BuyDowngradeMar 12, 2024
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 21, 2023
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainJan 18, 2023
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 26, 2022
JonesTrading Hold BuyDowngradeJun 9, 2021
Tudor Pickering Sell HoldDowngradeMay 26, 2021
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 11, 2021
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2020
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2020
Seaport Global Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2020
Mitsubishi UFJ Neutral OverweightDowngradeNov 25, 2020
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 25, 2020
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeNov 25, 2020
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $21.52. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Capital One FinancialAnalyst unavailable$25$21.36 +16.2%Sep 22, 2026
UBSManav Gupta$22$21.04 +2.2%Sep 21, 2026
Wells FargoNed Baramov$24$21.97 +11.5%Aug 3, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$24$22.46 +11.5%Jul 14, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$23$21.7 +6.9%Feb 24, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$17.63 -7.1%Dec 23, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$17$16.67 -21.0%Feb 18, 2025
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$14.5$14.61 -32.6%Nov 5, 2024
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$12.5$12.24 -41.9%Oct 24, 2023
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$11.5$12.18 -46.6%Oct 10, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$12$11.2 -44.2%Jan 9, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$13$9.95 -39.6%Apr 28, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Antero Midstream Corporation primarily owns, operates, and expands vital midstream energy infrastructure. Its operations are divided into two key divisions: Gathering and Processing, and Water Handling. The Gathering and Processing segment involves a comprehensive network of pipelines and compressor stations that are crucial for collecting and treating natural gas output from Antero Resources' wells situated across West Virginia and Ohio. Meanwhile, the Water Handling segment focuses on supplying fresh water, supported by its array of pumping stations, water storage, and blending facilities. Established in 2013, the company maintains its corporate headquarters in Denver, Colorado.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T18:07:09.929002+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T03:00:41.747614+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T03:00:41.744679+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.