Akamai Technologies, Inc. · AKAM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Akamai Q1 2026: $1.8B AI Deal Drives CIS Surge, Guidance Raised

Akamai's Q1 2026 results mark an inflection point in its cloud infrastructure strategy. The company secured a landmark seven-year, $1.8 billion AI infrastructure contract—the largest in its history—while Cloud Infrastructure Services (CIS) revenue surged 40% year over year and security revenue grew 11%. Management raised guidance and signaled double-digit revenue growth for 2027, supported by an aggressive GPU deployment plan with NVIDIA across 4,300 points of presence. The trade-off is a sharp increase in capital expenditure, projected at 40–42% of revenue for the full year, which pressures near-term free cash flow even as it builds the platform for long-term AI-driven growth.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $16.54B market cap
90quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) is a leading global provider of cloud services, specializing in the secure delivery, optimization, and protection of online content and business applications across the internet. The company's primary focus involves offering sophisticated cloud-based solutions designed to shield digital infrastructure, websites, applications (including APIs), and end-users from a wide array of cyberattacks and online threats, all while simultaneously enhancing performance. Akamai further excels in accelerating web and mobile experiences, facilitating dynamic and highly responsive websites and applications.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.61 Consensus $2
EPS surprise +0.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.07B Consensus $1.07B
Revenue surprise +0.1% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AKAM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.59 Q4 '23 actual $1.69, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.61 Q1 '24 actual $1.64, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.53 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.59 Q3 '24 actual $1.59, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.55 Q2 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.64 Q3 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.76 Q4 '25 actual $1.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.60 Q1 '26 actual $1.61, match Q2 '26 estimate $1.58 Q3 '26 estimate $1.70 Q4 '26 estimate $1.80 Q1 '27 estimate $1.67

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold50 ratings
Bullish2448.0%
Neutral2448.0%
Bearish24.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.75Previous close
$75Low
$133.11Average
$195High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 14, 2026
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 13, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainMay 11, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 8, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainMay 8, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainMay 8, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 8, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 8, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2026
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeApr 2, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainFeb 20, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainFeb 13, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJan 16, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 8, 2025
Needham Hold HoldMaintainFeb 21, 2025
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainFeb 21, 2025
Oppenheimer Outperform PerformUpgradeDec 2, 2024
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainAug 29, 2024
Craig-Hallum Buy HoldUpgradeAug 9, 2024
HSBC Hold ReduceUpgradeJul 24, 2024
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainMay 24, 2023
Loop Capital Hold HoldMaintainMar 1, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 15, 2023
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2022
FBN Securities Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2022
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 10, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2020
B. Riley Securities Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2020
B. Riley FBR Buy BuyMaintainApr 29, 2020
Nomura Instinet Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 15, 2020
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 15, 2020
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeMar 26, 2020
B. Riley Buy BuyMaintainFeb 12, 2020
Deutsche Bank Sell HoldDowngradeMar 25, 2019
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainJun 27, 2018
Wells Fargo Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 25, 2017
Drexel Hamilton Buy BuyMaintainMar 21, 2017
FBR Capital Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeOct 26, 2016
Pacific Crest Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 27, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Hold HoldMaintainMar 24, 2016
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 3, 2015
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainOct 28, 2015
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market PerformUpgradeAug 28, 2015
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainMay 2, 2014
Maxim Group Buy BuyMaintainMar 15, 2013
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 7, 2013
Janney Capital Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 7, 2013
Oxen Group Hold HoldMaintainMar 14, 2012
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainFeb 9, 2012
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainFeb 9, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $113.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSRoger Boyd$125$111.79 +9.9%Jul 29, 2026
Evercore ISIPeter Levine$175$113.3 +53.8%Jul 27, 2026
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$165$161.14 +45.1%May 14, 2026
SusquehannaShyam Patil$175$147.71 +53.8%May 11, 2026
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$180$141.92 +58.2%May 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$160$141.46 +40.7%May 8, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$150$140.3 +31.9%May 8, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$180$140.73 +58.2%May 8, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$185$135.3 +62.6%May 8, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$140$135.93 +23.1%May 8, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$165$133.5 +45.1%May 8, 2026
Craig-HallumAnalyst unavailable$190$116.69 +67.0%May 8, 2026
KeyBancJackson Ader$195$116.69 +71.4%May 8, 2026
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$120$105.47 +5.5%Mar 12, 2026
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$100$99.02 -12.1%Feb 23, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$76$94.17 -33.2%Feb 23, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$97$94.17 -14.7%Feb 23, 2026
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$120$99.42 +5.5%Feb 20, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$120$98.89 +5.5%Feb 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$115$99.26 +1.1%Feb 20, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$110$109.59 -3.3%Feb 20, 2026
UBSRoger Boyd$110$109.59 -3.3%Feb 20, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$120$109.59 +5.5%Feb 20, 2026
Morgan StanleySanjit Singh$120$109.59 +5.5%Feb 20, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$115$92.68 +1.1%Feb 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$115$88.12 +1.1%Jan 12, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$105$87.36 -7.7%Jan 9, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$89$85.1 -21.8%Jan 5, 2026
KeyBancJackson Ader$115$85.89 +1.1%Dec 15, 2025
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$100$87.17 -12.1%Nov 17, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$83$70.53 -27.0%Aug 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$85$73.65 -25.3%Aug 5, 2025
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$90$73.81 -20.9%Apr 16, 2025
Robert W. BairdWilliam Power$115$101.02 +1.1%Nov 11, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$121$101.02 +6.4%Nov 11, 2024
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$115$91.57 +1.1%Aug 9, 2024
Craig-HallumJeff Van Rhee$125$91.57 +9.9%Aug 9, 2024
RBC CapitalMark Mahaney$100$91.57 -12.1%Aug 9, 2024
GuggenheimRaymond McDonough$128$96.97 +12.5%Jul 29, 2024
HSBCStephen Bersey$96$96.37 -15.6%Jul 24, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$112$95.14 -1.5%Jul 15, 2024
ScotiabankPatrick Colville$110$92.22 -3.3%Jul 8, 2024
SusquehannaShyam Patil$135$92.86 +18.7%May 10, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$114$94.39 +0.2%May 10, 2024
KeyBancThomas Blakey$119$94.48 +4.6%May 10, 2024
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$125$101.44 +9.9%May 7, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$136$105.82 +19.6%Apr 9, 2024
Robert W. BairdWilliam Power$135$110.16 +18.7%Mar 7, 2024
GuggenheimRamond McDonnough$75$78.66 -34.1%Feb 16, 2023
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$91$87.49 -20.0%Feb 7, 2023
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$102$95.81 -10.3%Aug 10, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$125$95.98 +9.9%Aug 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$102$92.26 -10.3%Aug 10, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$95.08 -3.3%Aug 10, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$110$90.65 -3.3%Jul 11, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$102$93.13 -10.3%Jul 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$118$100.74 +3.7%May 4, 2022
Piper SandlerJames Fish$126$116.7 +10.8%Apr 25, 2022
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$168$109.94 +47.7%Jan 26, 2022
KeyBancThomas Blakey$140$112.08 +23.1%Jan 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$130$110.87 +14.3%Nov 3, 2021
Truist FinancialGregory P Miller$140$105.13 +23.1%Nov 2, 2021
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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +26.6% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move +25.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
AKAMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue rose 6% YoY to $1.074 billion, narrowly topping the $1.073 billion consensus, and EPS of $1.61 edged the $1.60 estimate. The stock surged 25.8% on the announcement—26.6% versus a flat SPY benchmark—on volume four times the baseline, before drifting back 3.9% in subsequent sessions. The standout development was the $1.8 billion multi-year AI deal, which shifts Akamai's growth narrative from steady mid-single-digit revenue expansion to a potential double-digit trajectory by 2027. CapEx guidance stepped up meaningfully, with Q2 targeted at $433–$453 million and full-year spending at roughly 40–42% of revenue.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance, citing the CIS pipeline and the $1.8 billion deal as underpinning double-digit revenue growth into 2027. CapEx is projected at $433–$453 million for Q2 and approximately 40–42% of total revenue for the full year—a material step-up from prior spending levels. Non-GAAP operating margin is expected to hold around 26%. The company continues aggressive share repurchases and remains opportunistic on M&A.

Key takeaways

  • CIS revenue surged 40% YoY, with a robust pipeline of AI-specific GPU deployments.
  • Security revenue grew 11% YoY, led by WAF, API security, and Guardicore segmentation.
  • The $1.8 billion seven-year AI deal validates Akamai's edge-compute strategy and underpins double-digit revenue growth guidance for 2027.
  • CapEx is set to rise sharply, targeting $433–$453 million in Q2 and roughly 40–42% of total revenue for the full year.
  • Operating margin is expected to remain around 26% while the company continues aggressive share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Scale out NVIDIA GPU deployments across 4,300 points of presence and increase managed container services in 100+ cities.
  • Build out physical infrastructure and expand sales and support teams for CIS growth.
  • Continue to enhance the AI inference grid and edge compute orchestration.
  • Maintain active share-buyback program and remain opportunistic for M&A.
  • Introduce new security features leveraging AI for zero-day detection.

Related earnings events

Technology

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-31T08:11:20.858975+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-31T08:11:20.856314+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.