Akamai Technologies, Inc. · AKAM · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Akamai leans into security and cloud as delivery declines

The call supports a constructive but conditional view of Akamai’s growth transition: security momentum and cloud expansion provide evidence for durable demand, while delivery weakness, customer concentration, FX, capex and tariff exposure keep the thesis unproven.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $15.21B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.52
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.02B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -21.7% Event window
SPY move -1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -20.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 11.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.6% Up to 20 sessions
AKAMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Akamai’s mix is shifting further toward security and cloud. The call highlighted security revenue above $2 billion, cloud infrastructure ARR of $259 million, a new managed container service, and a large Scandinavian cloud contract, while delivery revenue continues to decline.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2025 guidance calls for revenue of $4–4.2 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $6–6.40, with cloud infrastructure ARR targeted to grow 40–45% in constant currency.

Key takeaways

  • Security is the primary revenue driver, with 16% year-over-year growth and revenue exceeding $2 billion.
  • Cloud computing ARR reached $259 million, with 40–45% constant-currency growth targeted for 2025.
  • Delivery revenue remains under pressure, although management expects the decline to narrow to about 10% this year.
  • A managed container service is planned across 4,300 POPs in more than 700 cities.
  • A $100 million multi-year cloud infrastructure contract in Scandinavia supports the cloud expansion narrative.

Management priorities

  • Launch the managed container service across global POPs.
  • Scale Guardicore and API security product lines.
  • Expand data-center capacity, especially in Europe and Scandinavia.
  • Enable Deloitte and other channel partners.
  • Pursue selective tuck-in acquisitions in security and compute.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AKAM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.59 Q4 '23 actual $1.69, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.61 Q1 '24 actual $1.64, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.53 Q2 '24 actual $1.58, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.59 Q3 '24 actual $1.59, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.55 Q2 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.64 Q3 '25 actual $1.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.76 Q4 '25 actual $1.84, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.60 Q1 '26 actual $1.61, match Q2 '26 estimate $1.57 Q2 '26 actual $1.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.67 Q4 '26 estimate $1.81 Q1 '27 estimate $1.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold50 ratings
Bullish2550.0%
Neutral2448.0%
Bearish12.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$104.61Current
$75Low
$140.56Average
$225High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 25, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 25, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 25, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $104.61. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesFrank Louthan$170$108.99 +62.5%Sep 29, 2026
D.A. DavidsonRudy Kessinger$150$113.33 +43.4%Sep 28, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$158$110.41 +51.0%Sep 25, 2026
GuggenheimJohn DiFucci$225$110.41 +115.1%Sep 25, 2026
UBSRoger Boyd$148$110.41 +41.5%Sep 25, 2026
See 66 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) is a leading global provider of cloud services, specializing in the secure delivery, optimization, and protection of online content and business applications across the internet. The company's primary focus involves offering sophisticated cloud-based solutions designed to shield digital infrastructure, websites, applications (including APIs), and end-users from a wide array of cyberattacks and online threats, all while simultaneously enhancing performance. Akamai further excels in accelerating web and mobile experiences, facilitating dynamic and highly responsive websites and applications.…

Historical context

All AKAM earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-06T00:01:56.136176+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T04:50:42.337834+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T04:50:42.334837+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.