Assurant, Inc. · AIZ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Assurant raises 2026 outlook as Connected Living drives record Q2

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis for Assurant: record Q2 earnings, strong Connected Living momentum, new partnership activity, and a raised full-year outlook indicate demand and execution remain resilient. The thesis is tempered by claims, catastrophe, placement-rate, capacity, and competitive risks.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $13.74B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.41 Consensus $5.17
EPS surprise +24.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.45B Consensus $3.43B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.2% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +7.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.8% Up to 20 sessions
AIZSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis describes another record quarter, stronger Connected Living and reverse-logistics momentum, a new Freedom Mortgage partnership covering approximately 2.6 million loans, four additional Connected Living programs, expanded device-care capacity, and a higher liquidity figure of $911 million. Guidance remained raised and the share-repurchase range increased to $300-$350 million.

Guidance delta

Raised: management now targets mid-single-digit 2026 growth and approximately 10% underlying growth excluding reserve impacts; the share-repurchase range is $300-$350 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis describes record results, with adjusted EBITDA up 18% and adjusted EPS up 19%, both excluding catastrophes.
  • Connected Living, mobile device protection, and reverse logistics were identified as key sources of growth and margin expansion.
  • A new Freedom Mortgage lender-placed insurance partnership covers approximately 2.6 million loans.
  • Management highlighted $911 million of liquidity and an increased $300-$350 million share-repurchase range.
  • The analysis identifies claims inflation, catastrophe losses, placement-rate changes, and competition as risks.

Management priorities

  • Continue investing in AI, data analytics, and automation.
  • Roll out additional Connected Living programs and deepen mobile carrier partnerships.
  • Expand lender-placed insurance and the Cover360 platform.
  • Pursue selective M&A while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.
  • Increase share repurchases toward the upper end of the $300-$350 million range.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AIZ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.87 Q1 '24 actual $4.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.62 Q2 '24 actual $4.08, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.52 Q3 '24 actual $3.00, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.43 Q2 '25 actual $5.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.39 Q3 '25 actual $5.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.55 Q4 '25 actual $5.61, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.29 Q1 '26 actual $5.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.17 Q2 '26 actual $6.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.52 Q4 '26 estimate $5.49 Q1 '27 estimate $6.04
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy19 ratings
Bullish1157.9%
Neutral736.8%
Bearish15.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$271.08Current
$205Low
$292.45Average
$355High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 13, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 10, 2024
William Blair Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2020
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 16, 2018
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 20, 2016
Credit Suisse Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 7, 2016
PiperJaffray Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 21, 2015
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainAug 14, 2015
Macquarie Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 29, 2015
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMay 15, 2015
Sterne Agee Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 17, 2014
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 1, 2014
Bank oferica Underperform UnderperformMaintainMay 2, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $271.08. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalCharlie Lederer$320$285.88 +18.0%Aug 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$320$280.07 +18.0%Aug 19, 2026
UBSBrian Meredith$331$283.42 +22.1%Aug 13, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$329$295.66 +21.4%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialMark Hughes$355$297.7 +31.0%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$300$279.48 +10.7%Jul 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$310$260.55 +14.4%Jun 17, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$310$265.08 +14.4%Jun 17, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$290$254.82 +7.0%May 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$285$251.14 +5.1%May 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$274$240.38 +1.1%May 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$268$239.67 -1.1%May 11, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$246$218.84 -9.3%Feb 12, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$264$238.03 -2.6%Dec 19, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$248$227.03 -8.5%Nov 17, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$255$207.28 -5.9%Oct 29, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$248$218.45 -8.5%Oct 10, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$216.29 -5.9%Oct 8, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$232$218.97 -14.4%Oct 7, 2025
BMO CapitalCharlie Lederer$238$209.42 -12.2%Aug 12, 2025
Morgan StanleyBob Huang$217$203.44 -19.9%May 19, 2025
Piper SandlerJohn Barnidge$205$179.34 -24.4%Apr 5, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Assurant, Inc. operates globally, delivering essential lifestyle and housing solutions designed to secure, assist, and connect consumer acquisitions across diverse markets including North America, Latin America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's operations are divided into two main divisions: Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. The Global Lifestyle segment provides comprehensive mobile device support, extended warranty and maintenance programs for mobile devices, consumer electronics, and appliances, as well as vehicle protection plans and associated services, alongside credit…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-05T16:10:29.922480+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-09T01:23:14.388487+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T20:10:53.292860+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T20:10:53.289813+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.