American International Group, Inc. · AIG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

AIG Q2: Premium growth and underwriting gains continue

AIG's Q2 results support a constructive but measured view: premium growth, improving underwriting metrics and capital returns are positives, while selective pricing, below-peer ROE and early-stage AI benefits remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $39.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.00 Consensus $1.92
EPS surprise +4.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.10B Consensus $7.25B
Revenue surprise -2.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.3% Up to 20 sessions
AIGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, AIG reported continued premium and underwriting momentum, returned more capital, announced the Everest Colombia acquisition and emphasized a more selective pricing environment. AI Assist is being scaled across underwriting and claims, but benefits remain early.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management is targeting a sub-30% expense ratio by FY 2027.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS rose 10% year over year, while underwriting income also increased 10%.
  • Combined ratios improved by 30 basis points.
  • Q2 premiums grew 9%; first-half premiums grew 13%.
  • AIG returned $904 million through repurchases and dividends.
  • AI tools are producing early benefits in submission processing and broker insights.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI Assist across underwriting and claims.
  • Target a sub-30% expense ratio by FY 2027.
  • Pursue strategic M&A in high-growth regions.
  • Expand data-center and multiline solutions for AI hyperscalers.
  • Invest in talent and external hires to support growth initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AIG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.64 Q4 '23 actual $1.79, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.65 Q1 '24 actual $1.77, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.30 Q2 '24 actual $1.16, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.10 Q3 '24 actual $1.23, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.60 Q2 '25 actual $1.81, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.72 Q3 '25 actual $2.20, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.90 Q4 '25 actual $1.96, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.89 Q1 '26 actual $2.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.92 Q2 '26 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.81 Q4 '26 estimate $2.12 Q1 '27 estimate $2.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold41 ratings
Bullish1536.6%
Neutral2561.0%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$74.54Current
$50Low
$83.28Average
$98High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 16, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 11, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $74.54. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoElyse Greenspan$85$78.78 +14.0%Aug 10, 2026
Piper SandlerPaul Newsome$80$79 +7.3%Jul 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$89$79.62 +19.4%Jul 9, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRyan Tunis$92$79.62 +23.4%Jul 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$98$80.47 +31.5%Jul 8, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a global insurance provider, delivering a broad spectrum of insurance solutions to commercial, institutional, and individual clients across North America and worldwide. Its General Insurance division encompasses a wide range of coverages, including general liability, environmental protection, commercial auto liability, workers' compensation, casualty, and crisis management. This segment also covers property risks for commercial, industrial, and energy sectors, with further specialized offerings such as aerospace, political risk, trade credit, portfolio solutions, crop, and marine insurance policies. Additionally, AIG supplies professional liability coverage for various business operations and potential hazards, such as directors and officers (D&O), mergers and acquisitions (M&A), fidelity bonds, employment practices, fiduciary liability, cyber risk, kidnap and ransom, and errors and omissions (E&O) insurance.…

Historical context

All AIG earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-09T00:11:11.356948+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T22:10:48.432421+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T22:10:48.429308+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.