Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1248.0%
Neutral1248.0%
Bearish14.0%
Ameren Corporation · AEE · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025
Ameren Keeps Guidance as Data-Center Load Supports Investment Plan
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Ameren's maintained guidance, expanding data-center commitments, regulatory developments and planned infrastructure investment strengthen the growth case. Execution, regulatory timing, tax-credit policy and project costs remain the main tests.
Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities
$27.66B market cap
80quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
—
Consensus $1.05
EPS surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
—
Consensus $1.92B
Revenue surprise
—
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
event-close to next-session close
Stock move
+1.4%
Event window
SPY move
+1.5%
Same window
Abnormal move
-0.1%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
1.5×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-2.3%
Up to 20 sessions
AEESPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about AEE FY2025 Q1
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
What drove AEE's +1.4% move after FY2025 Q1 earnings?What changed in AEE's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q1?Give me the bull and bear case for AEE after FY2025 Q1 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
Since the prior-quarter analysis, data-center construction agreements increased to 2.3 GW, the investment pipeline was described at $63 billion with $26 billion of five-year capex, and Missouri Senate Bill 4 extended and expanded PISA through 2035. Management also highlighted smart-switching results and maintained its earnings outlook.
Guidance delta
Maintained: management reaffirmed 2025 EPS guidance of $4.85-$5.05.
Key takeaways
- Management's Q1 analysis cites EPS of $1.07 and maintained 2025 EPS guidance of $4.85-$5.05.
- Data-center construction agreements rose to 2.3 GW, making large-load demand a central growth driver.
- Ameren highlighted a $63 billion investment pipeline, including $26 billion of capex over five years.
- Missouri regulatory support and expanded PISA improve the framework for planned generation investment, while IRA and tariff exposure remain risks.
Management priorities
- File large-load rate structures and develop service agreements with hyperscalers.
- Bring 1,200 MW of new natural-gas and solar generation online by 2027-2028.
- Advance MISO Tranche 2.1 transmission bids and monitor later opportunities.
- Execute the investment program focused on grid reliability, renewable integration, and battery storage.
- Maintain credit strength while using debt issuance and the ATM equity program.
Follow AEE with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.
Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$99.94Previous close
$80Low
$108.31Average
$131High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 17, 2026 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Upgrade | Jul 23, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 16, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 23, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | In Line | Upgrade | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 7, 2023 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 16, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 17, 2019 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Sep 12, 2019 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 3, 2013 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 3, 2013 |
| Edward Jones | Hold | Sell | Upgrade | Dec 24, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | May 8, 2012 |
| ISI Group | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 12, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $99.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdel | $113 | $100.25 | +13.1% | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Ian Rapp | $104 | $99.39 | +4.1% | Sep 29, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D\'Ambrisi | $107 | $98.46 | +7.1% | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $109.74 | +20.1% | Aug 17, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $124 | $109.61 | +24.1% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $126 | $112.01 | +26.1% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $122 | $112.01 | +22.1% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $118 | $111.36 | +18.1% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $117 | $112.54 | +17.1% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $115 | $112.71 | +15.1% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $110 | $109.74 | +10.1% | May 21, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $117 | $110.68 | +17.1% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Shahriar Pourreza | $120 | $111.27 | +20.1% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Richard Sunderland | $126 | $111.27 | +26.1% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $116 | $111.86 | +16.1% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| BTIG | Alex Kania | $131 | $114.32 | +31.1% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $116 | $109.46 | +16.1% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $127 | $109.31 | +27.1% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $113 | $109.4 | +13.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $117 | $109.34 | +17.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $120 | $109.34 | +20.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D'Ambrisi | $116 | $101.85 | +16.1% | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $108 | $103.75 | +8.1% | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $104 | +11.1% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $104 | $102.54 | +4.1% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $115 | $97.99 | +15.1% | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $103 | $98.87 | +3.1% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $104.81 | +12.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Stephen D'Ambrisi | $119 | $104.81 | +19.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $114 | $104.18 | +14.1% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $105.38 | +11.1% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $111 | $104.92 | +11.1% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $113 | $105.69 | +13.1% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $109 | $104.23 | +9.1% | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $104 | $101.13 | +4.1% | Sep 25, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $104 | $96.46 | +4.1% | Jul 16, 2025 |
| UBS | William Appicelli | $114 | $96.2 | +14.1% | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Carly Davenport | $100 | $95.1 | +0.1% | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | David Arcaro | $102 | $95.4 | +2.1% | May 22, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $103 | $95.42 | +3.1% | May 14, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $100 | +2.1% | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $97 | $83.62 | -2.9% | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdel | $89 | $83.99 | -10.9% | Sep 16, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Thalacker | $87 | $80.85 | -12.9% | Aug 6, 2024 |
| UBS | Daniel Ford | $87 | $74.82 | -12.9% | Jul 19, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Thalacker | $80 | $71.13 | -20.0% | Jun 21, 2024 |
| Barclays | Nicholas Campanella | $77 | $70.1 | -23.0% | May 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Carly Davenport | $73 | $74.9 | -27.0% | May 16, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | James Thalacker | $81 | $73.85 | -19.0% | May 6, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Neil Kalton | $94 | $78.55 | -5.9% | Oct 19, 2023 |
| Barclays | Eric Beaumont | $80 | $77.43 | -20.0% | Sep 5, 2023 |
| KeyBanc | Sophie Karp | $90 | $83.36 | -9.9% | Jun 11, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $88.16 | -7.9% | Dec 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $84.86 | -13.9% | Nov 11, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Anthony Crowdell | $92 | $88.24 | -7.9% | Jul 8, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $102 | $93.73 | +2.1% | Jun 3, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $112 | $96.36 | +12.1% | May 26, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $98 | $95.8 | -1.9% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $104 | $95.92 | +4.1% | Apr 26, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $101 | $97.75 | +1.1% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Gary Hovis | $90 | $79.7 | -9.9% | Jun 24, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Julien Dumoulin Smith | $89 | $81.8 | -10.9% | Jun 21, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Insoo Kim | $90 | $84.49 | -9.9% | Jun 15, 2021 |
Track every rating change on AEE the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationOperating across the United States, Ameren Corporation functions as a utility holding company. The enterprise organizes its operations into four primary divisions: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. Its fundamental business involves the rate-regulated production, transmission, and supply of electricity, in addition to the rate-regulated distribution and transmission of natural gas. Ameren generates power using a variety of sources, including coal, nuclear energy, and natural gas, supplemented by renewable alternatives such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar. Its customer base encompasses residential homes, commercial businesses, and industrial operations. Established in 1881, Ameren Corporation is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Historical context
All AEE earningsLatest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
Get the AEE recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T05:40:45.168596+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T05:40:45.164549+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.