Ameren Corporation · AEE · FY2024 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2024

Ameren Maintains Guidance as Load Growth Meets Regulatory Uncertainty

Ameren's maintained guidance, continued infrastructure investment and expected data-center and manufacturing load growth support its stated growth trajectory. The counterweight is execution risk from regulation, litigation, capacity conditions and project approvals.

Reported After market closeNYSEUtilities $29.37B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.98 Consensus $1.06
EPS surprise -7.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.82B Consensus $2.19B
Revenue surprise -17.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.5% Event window
SPY move +1.2% Same window
Abnormal move -2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.4% Up to 20 sessions
AEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current quarter showed modestly lower EPS and maintained full-year guidance. Management highlighted approved solar projects, ongoing grid and transmission work, load growth from large customers, and new uncertainty from EPA rules and MISO Zone 5 capacity conditions.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year EPS guidance remained $4.52-$4.72 despite modestly lower Q1 EPS.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 EPS was modestly lower, while full-year guidance was maintained.
  • Capital investment continued across smart meters, grid upgrades, solar and transmission.
  • Data-center and manufacturing demand support load growth, but EPA, MISO and regulatory issues remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Advance solar, smart-meter, grid and transmission investments.
  • Pursue the Castle Bluff 800 MW simple-cycle gas plant and related approvals.
  • Support data-center and manufacturing load growth while keeping O&M flat through cost reduction and automation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AEE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.61 Q4 '23 actual $0.60, match Q1 '24 estimate $1.06 Q1 '24 actual $0.98, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.93 Q2 '24 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.91 Q3 '24 actual $1.87, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $1.01, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.11 Q3 '25 actual $2.17, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.77 Q4 '25 actual $0.78, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.18 Q1 '26 actual $1.28, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.08 Q2 '26 actual $1.13, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.31 Q4 '26 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 estimate $1.32
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish1248.0%
Neutral1248.0%
Bearish14.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$104.23Current
$80Low
$108.56Average
$131High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 14, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 13, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $104.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$116$104.32 +11.3%Oct 14, 2026
KeyBancSophie Karp$116$103.24 +11.3%Oct 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdel$113$100.25 +8.4%Sep 30, 2026
ScotiabankIan Rapp$104$99.39 -0.2%Sep 29, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$107$98.46 +2.7%Sep 25, 2026
See 60 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating across the United States, Ameren Corporation functions as a utility holding company. The enterprise organizes its operations into four primary divisions: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission. Its fundamental business involves the rate-regulated production, transmission, and supply of electricity, in addition to the rate-regulated distribution and transmission of natural gas. Ameren generates power using a variety of sources, including coal, nuclear energy, and natural gas, supplemented by renewable alternatives such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar. Its customer base encompasses residential homes, commercial businesses, and industrial operations. Established in 1881, Ameren Corporation is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-11T06:39:45.180704+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T15:30:43.989852+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T15:30:43.986849+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.