Adobe Inc. · ADBE · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens

Adobe's Q3 supports the view that resilient demand and earnings growth can underpin the business over the next year, but the evidence is mixed: AI adoption, freemium scale and enterprise expansion are positives, while slowing RPO growth, deferred pricing and execution risks temper the case.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $98.95B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.13 Consensus $6.08
EPS surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.76B Consensus $6.69B
Revenue surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.3% Up to 20 sessions
ADBESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Adobe added the Topaz Labs acquisition, expanded partnership activity and described freemium usage at more than 1 billion monthly active users. The company also continued its AI-agent strategy and raised full-year guidance, while RPO growth and near-term pricing-related margin questions remained concerns.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year FY26 revenue and EPS guidance, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Adobe reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $6.76 billion, up 12% year over year, and beat earnings expectations.
  • Management positioned AI agents across creativity, productivity and customer experience as a central growth strategy.
  • Freemium adoption, Firefly, Acrobat AI and enterprise offerings were highlighted as demand drivers.
  • The Topaz Labs acquisition and new partnerships broaden Adobe's AI capabilities, subject to execution and, for Topaz Labs, regulatory approval.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI features across Photoshop, Premiere and Acrobat.
  • Grow Firefly Enterprise and Graph Enterprise editions.
  • Convert freemium usage and AI credit consumption into paid ARR.
  • Integrate Topaz Labs technology into Creative Cloud.
  • Build the brand-visibility solution around the Semrush integration.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ADBE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4.13 Q4 '23 actual $4.27, beat Q1 '24 estimate $4.38 Q1 '24 actual $4.48, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4.39 Q2 '24 actual $4.48, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4.53 Q3 '24 actual $4.65, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.97 Q2 '25 actual $5.06, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5.18 Q3 '25 actual $5.31, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5.40 Q4 '25 actual $5.50, beat Q1 '26 estimate $5.87 Q1 '26 actual $6.06, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.82 Q2 '26 actual $5.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.08 Q3 '26 actual $6.13, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6.31 Q1 '27 estimate $6.77 Q2 '27 estimate $6.79
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold63 ratings
Bullish3047.6%
Neutral2742.9%
Bearish69.5%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$248.92Current
$190Low
$403.63Average
$730High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 11, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 11, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
Show 58 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $248.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$255$246.62 +2.4%Sep 11, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$270$245.82 +8.5%Sep 11, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$250$248.93 +0.4%Sep 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdRob Oliver$250$248.83 +0.4%Sep 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$250$248.83 +0.4%Sep 11, 2026
See 181 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Adobe Inc. stands as a prominent global software provider, delivering a diverse range of solutions. Its operations are structured into three primary business divisions: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising. The Digital Media segment empowers individuals, teams, and enterprises to generate, disseminate, and amplify various forms of content through its array of products and services, including the cloud-native Document Cloud platform. Central to this segment is Creative Cloud, its subscription-based flagship, granting access to a comprehensive suite of creative tools. This division caters to a diverse range of users, from professional content creators and marketers to educators, communicators, and general consumers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-11T14:18:54.602436+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-20T01:23:12.707946+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-20T22:20:46.856645+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-20T22:20:46.853875+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.