Apple Inc. · AAPL · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2025

Apple posts record quarter as Services and AI investment advance

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient demand in iPhone, Mac and Services, plus expanding AI capabilities, support the growth case, while tariffs, rising capex, regulation and weaker iPad and Wearables trends are important counterweights.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $4944.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.57 Consensus $1.44
EPS surprise +9.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $94.04B Consensus $89.56B
Revenue surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.5% Event window
SPY move -1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -0.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.7% Up to 20 sessions
AAPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis points to record Q3 revenue, stronger reported growth across iPhone, Mac and Services, expanded Apple Intelligence features, and a higher disclosed near-term tariff burden. The company also continued to emphasize rising capex and maintained its positive operating outlook.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Management’s September-quarter outlook called for mid- to high-single-digit revenue growth and 46%–47% gross margin, while noting higher tariff costs and continued capex increases.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis reports record Q3 FY2025 revenue of $94 billion and EPS of $1.57.
  • iPhone, Mac and Services each recorded double-digit growth in the quarter, according to the analysis.
  • Services reached an all-time high of $27.4 billion, supported by Apple TV+, App Store growth and more than 1 billion paid subscriptions.
  • Apple highlighted broader Apple Intelligence features and said AI investment is contributing to higher capex.
  • Tariff-related costs were $800 million in the quarter, with $1.1 billion projected for the next quarter.

Management priorities

  • Expand Apple Intelligence across iOS, macOS, iPadOS and visionOS.
  • Continue investment in AI, supply-chain capacity and U.S. facilities.
  • Develop emerging-market distribution through stores and online expansion.
  • Advance new software and hardware features across iPhone, Mac, Vision Pro and AirPods.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
AAPL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.10 Q1 '24 actual $2.18, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.50 Q2 '24 actual $1.53, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.35 Q3 '24 actual $1.40, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1.60 Q4 '24 actual $1.64, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.44 Q3 '25 actual $1.57, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.73 Q4 '25 actual $1.85, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.67 Q1 '26 actual $2.85, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.95 Q2 '26 actual $2.01, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.89 Q3 '26 actual $2.02, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.99 Q1 '27 estimate $2.98 Q2 '27 estimate $2.25
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy110 ratings
Bullish7164.5%
Neutral3027.3%
Bearish98.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$336.67Previous close
$105Low
$257.75Average
$400High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 8, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Needham Hold HoldMaintainOct 1, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 1, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 23, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 105 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $336.67. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$355$330.26 +5.4%Oct 1, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$380$337 +12.9%Sep 18, 2026
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$380$337 +12.9%Sep 18, 2026
MoffettNathansonAnalyst unavailable$304$319.97 -9.7%Sep 8, 2026
Redburn PartnersTimm Schulze-Melander$400$305.93 +18.8%Aug 17, 2026
See 244 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Apple Inc. is a global technology corporation that specializes in the conceptualization, production, and sale of a diverse suite of electronic devices. Its comprehensive hardware lineup features the well-known iPhone smartphones, Mac personal computers, and versatile iPad tablets. The company also supplies a range of wearables, smart home products, and accessories, including AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, items from the Beats brand, and HomePod speakers. Beyond its device offerings, Apple delivers essential support services like AppleCare and robust cloud solutions. It oversees key digital platforms, prominently the App Store, which acts as a central hub for customers to discover and download countless applications and digital content, from e-books and music to videos, games, and podcasts. The company also generates revenue via advertising, leveraging both its proprietary ad platforms and third-party licensing deals.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-08T06:30:44.891548+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-08T06:30:44.888744+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-08. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.