FN2 Earnings Intelligence

NTRS revenue earnings history

Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) quarterly reported and estimated revenue history by fiscal quarter.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NTRS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $4B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $4B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $2B
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NTRS FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Northern Trust Corporation

Northern Trust delivered a strong Q2 with EPS beating consensus by 9.6% and revenue modestly ahead, fueled by a one-time $525M pre-tax Visa exchange gain and 13% organic revenue growth. Management raised full-year guidance to 9-10% revenue and NII growth. Despite the beat, shares fell 3.3% on the session at nearly 3x baseline volume, suggesting investors are looking past the Visa gain and questioning whether the large institutional deposits driving NII are sustainable into Q3.

EPS surprise+9.6%
Market move-3.5%
NTRS FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Northern Trust Corporation

Northern Trust delivered a broad Q1 2026 beat on both lines, with revenue up 14% YoY, trust fees up 11%, EPS of $2.71 versus $2.32 consensus, and a pretax margin of 32% that points to durable operating leverage. Management reinforced the trajectory by raising full-year NII guidance and keeping the 100% payout commitment, while laying out continued investment in AI, wealth hiring, alternatives and digital assets. The market marked the stock up about 8.7% on the event, though it has since drifted roughly 4% lower, suggesting some enthusiasm cooled after the initial reaction.

EPS surprise+16.8%
Market move+8.0%
NTRS FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Northern Trust Corporation

The current analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Northern Trust's growth plan combines AI-enabled productivity, wealth-management expansion, and broader fee-based offerings. The case depends on converting those initiatives into durable revenue and margin gains while managing NII, fee, and integration risks.

EPS surprise+13.5%
Market move+6.0%
NTRS FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Northern Trust Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive operating narrative: organic growth, AI-enabled efficiency and expansion in alternatives and wealth management are offset by sensitivity to deposits, rates and fee pressure.

EPS surprise+1.3%
Market move-2.4%
NTRS FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Northern Trust Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: Northern Trust is pairing alternatives and wealth-management expansion with AI and automation initiatives intended to improve productivity and margins. The main test is whether these initiatives can translate into durable margin improvement while managing client concentration, rate sensitivity and regulatory constraints.

EPS surprise+3.4%
Market move-1.8%
NTRS FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Northern Trust Corporation

The current analysis supports a measured constructive view of Northern Trust's operating trajectory: management's growth initiatives and productivity program provide support, while rate, fee, market and regulatory risks keep the outlook conditional.

EPS surprise—
Market move+3.0%

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