FN2 Earnings Intelligence

MSCI expanded earnings history

MSCI Inc. (MSCI) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MSCI EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.29 Q4 '23 actual $3.68, beat Q1 '24 estimate $3.45 Q1 '24 actual $3.52, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.55 Q2 '24 actual $3.64, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.77 Q3 '24 actual $3.86, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.15 Q2 '25 actual $4.17, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.38 Q3 '25 actual $4.47, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.60 Q4 '25 actual $4.66, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.44 Q1 '26 actual $4.55, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.99 Q2 '26 actual $4.94, miss Q3 '26 estimate $5.02 Q4 '26 estimate $5.12 Q1 '27 estimate $5.39 Q2 '27 estimate $5.55
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MSCI FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

MSCI Inc.

MSCI delivered solid Q2 2026 fundamentals—organic revenue growth above 12%, adjusted EPS up 19%, and asset-based fee run rate reaching $948M driven by ETF inflows nearing $40B. Despite this, the stock fell roughly 11% on report day at 2.8x normal volume. The sell-off is consistent with a slight EPS and revenue miss versus consensus (EPS $4.94 vs. $4.99 estimated; revenue $867M vs. $871M estimated), raised expense guidance tied to the First Street acquisition and compensation accruals, and near-term headwinds in the Sustainability & Climate segment where flat to slightly negative net new sales are expected. The stock has since partially recovered, drifting approximately 4% higher in subsequent sessions. Management maintained a confident tone, highlighting AI-driven product launches, the new UBS private-asset partnership, and the First Street climate-risk acquisition. With a quality…

EPS surprise-1.0%
Market move-10.1%
MSCI FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

MSCI Inc.

MSCI's Q1 2026 supports the case that earnings growth and resilient demand can carry the franchise forward: organic revenue growth accelerated to above 13% from prior-quarter >10%, record ETF-linked inflows and a 52% jump in new recurring subscription sales point to durable index-licensing demand, and AI-integrated products plus three bolt-on acquisitions broaden the addressable surface. The positive market reaction (+5.4% vs -0.7% benchmark over the session) and consensus target of $701.71 against a $551.36 current price reflect this strength, though risks center on Sustainability & Climate softness and geopolitical exposure.

EPS surprise+2.5%
Market move+5.4%
MSCI FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

MSCI Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: strong organic growth, ETF-linked demand, AI-enabled product development and private-market expansion provide growth support. The key tests are whether AI produces measurable efficiency gains, retention remains stable and investment spending converts into durable cash flow.

EPS surprise+1.3%
Market move+5.7%
MSCI FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

MSCI Inc.

MSCI’s current analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: resilient index and subscription demand, plus expansion into AI and private-asset products, could broaden growth. The evidence is strongest in the reported double-digit organic growth, record asset-based fee run-rate, raised guidance sentiment, and continued product launches; the thesis remains dependent on execution, margin conversion, pricing, and regional demand.

EPS surprise+2.1%
Market move+8.6%
MSCI FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

MSCI Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: MSCI's growth trajectory is supported by ETF-linked asset-based fees, broad subscription demand, and product expansion, while the thesis depends on sustaining retention and converting private-capital and active-ETF opportunities without material pricing or consolidation pressure.

EPS surprise+0.5%
Market move-8.9%
MSCI FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

MSCI Inc.

The call supports a constructive, but qualified, view of MSCI's growth trajectory: resilient retention, custom-index demand, international asset-based fees, and new private-credit and climate offerings support the business, while new-sales timing, pricing, and weaker climate net-new sales remain important checks.

EPS surprise—
Market move+0.9%

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