FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Moody's (MCO) earnings history

Moody's Corporation (MCO) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MCO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3.04 Q1 '24 actual $3.37, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.02 Q2 '24 actual $3.28, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.86 Q3 '24 actual $3.21, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.39 Q2 '25 actual $3.56, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.70 Q3 '25 actual $3.92, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.43 Q4 '25 actual $3.64, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.22 Q1 '26 actual $4.33, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.26 Q2 '26 actual $4.68, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.24 Q4 '26 estimate $3.66 Q1 '27 estimate $4.76 Q2 '27 estimate $5.12
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MCO FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Moody's Corporation

Moody's accelerated from 8% revenue growth in Q1 to 15% in Q2, with adjusted EPS of $4.68 beating consensus by roughly 10%. The beat was driven by Moody's Investors Service, where transaction revenue surged 34% on $2 trillion in rated issuance — primarily AI data-center financing and private credit. Moody's Analytics grew ARR to $3.7 billion at approximately 9% year-over-year. Management responded by raising the full-year EPS midpoint to $16.75 and upgrading the issuance outlook to mid-single-digit growth. New strategic milestones included on-chain ratings on Solana, a re-entry into insurance-linked securities via a EUR 100 million flood catbond, and expanded AI integrations with Amazon and Microsoft. Despite the solid quarter, the stock reaction was muted — the abnormal move was essentially flat at -0.10% with subsequent drift of -1.12% — which may reflect the stock's pre-earnings…

EPS surprise+9.9%
Market move-0.2%
MCO FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Moody's Corporation

Moody's fiscal Q1 2026 showed durable earnings growth and resilient demand: EPS rose 13% to $4.33 on 8% revenue growth with a 53.2% operating margin, as rated issuance hit a record $2 trillion on AI infrastructure, private credit and energy transition. Management kept the full-year outlook unchanged while raising buyback guidance, signaling conviction in continued growth albeit with volatility in issuance as the main swing factor.

EPS surprise+2.6%
Market move+1.6%
MCO FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Moody's Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: resilient demand for decision-grade data, ratings, private-credit analytics, KYC, and insurance modeling provides a foundation for growth, while AI monetization, competition, and customer concentration are the key tests.

EPS surprise+6.1%
Market move+6.5%
MCO FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Moody's Corporation

The quarter strengthened the case for durable earnings growth: management cited strong issuance, private-credit expansion, AI-enabled analytics, and climate-risk demand, but the thesis still depends on sustainable issuance and successful monetization of newer solutions.

EPS surprise+5.9%
Market move-2.5%

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