FN2 Earnings Intelligence

CSX expanded earnings history

CSX Corporation (CSX) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CSX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.44 Q4 '23 actual $0.45, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.45 Q1 '24 actual $0.46, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.48 Q2 '24 actual $0.49, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.48 Q3 '24 actual $0.46, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.42 Q3 '25 actual $0.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.41 Q4 '25 actual $0.39, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '26 actual $0.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.52 Q2 '26 actual $0.54, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.50 Q1 '27 estimate $0.50 Q2 '27 estimate $0.62
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CSX FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

CSX Corporation

CSX delivered a record second quarter with revenue rising 10% on 6% volume growth, expanding operating margins by 240 basis points and driving 23% EPS growth. The beat was powered by intermodal revenue growth of 26%, benefiting from truck capacity constraints and new infrastructure capacity from the Howard Street Tunnel. Management raised full-year guidance for the second consecutive quarter, now projecting mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth, over 350 bps of margin expansion, and greater than 80% free cash flow growth. The stock's approximately 7% abnormal move on 2.4x baseline volume signals the market endorsed the operating leverage story, though subsequent drift of approximately -3.7% suggests some profit-taking. The key question ahead is whether service metrics can stabilize as crew shortages persist and modest headcount additions are absorbed.

EPS surprise+4.2%
Market move+5.8%
CSX FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

CSX Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive, execution-dependent view: volume growth, lower expenses and a guidance raise strengthen the case for earnings growth, while fuel, inflation and weaker end markets remain meaningful offsets.

EPS surprise+10.5%
Market move+6.9%
CSX FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

CSX Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a mixed but constructive operating thesis: intermodal expansion, new double-stack capacity, pricing initiatives, and productivity could support improvement, while Q4 mix pressure, below-consensus results, inflation, and soft demand remain material offsets.

EPS surprise-5.1%
Market move+2.4%
CSX FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

CSX Corporation

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: record service metrics and completed infrastructure projects improve CSX's capacity and resilience, but mixed end-market demand and commodity exposure temper the case for sustained growth.

EPS surprise+3.7%
Market move+1.7%
CSX FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

CSX Corporation

The quarter provides evidence of an operational rebound: improved network performance, cost discipline, and planned capacity additions support the longer-term growth case. That support is balanced by coal-price weakness, labor-cost pressure, mixed demand, and execution risk around infrastructure projects.

EPS surprise+5.8%
Market move+0.1%
CSX FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

CSX Corporation

The supplied analysis supports a mixed near-term view: CSX's longer-term intermodal, automotive, and facility pipeline opportunities remain intact, but Q1 execution issues and commodity headwinds currently temper the case for stronger earnings momentum.

EPS surprise—
Market move+1.2%

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